Goldman School of Public Policy - University of California, Berkeley

Selected Publications

Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict

Hsiang, S.M., M. Burke, E. Miguel, Science (2013) DOI:10.1126/science.1235367

Abstract

Abstract Are violent conflict and socio-political stability associated with changes in climatological variables? We examine 50 rigorous quantitative studies on this question and find consistent support for a causal association between climatological changes and various conflict outcomes, at spatial scales ranging from individual buildings to the entire globe and at temporal scales ranging from an anomalous hour to an anomalous millennium.Multiplemechanisms that could explain this association have been proposed and are sometimes supported by findings, but the literature is currently unable to decisively exclude any proposed pathway. Several mechanisms likely contribute to the outcomes that we observe.

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